Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
