Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Hebei win was 0-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
