Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.