Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Tianjin TEDA win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.