Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.