Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Shijiazhuang Ever Bright had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Shijiazhuang Ever Bright win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.