SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
52.66% ( 0.25) | 24.77% ( -0.06) | 22.57% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( 0.04) | 51.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0.04) | 73.68% ( -0.03) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.11) | 19.7% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( 0.18) | 51.7% ( -0.18) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( -0.16) | 37.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( -0.15) | 74.63% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 52.66% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.57% |
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