SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
25.72% ( -0.2) | 22.77% ( -0.04) | 51.5% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.93% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.65% ( 0.03) | 40.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.28% ( 0.03) | 62.72% ( -0.03) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.14) | 28.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( -0.17) | 64.69% ( 0.17) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( 0.09) | 15.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( 0.18) | 44.93% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.4% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.51% |
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