Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dalian Pro win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan would win this match.
