Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dalian Pro had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Dalian Pro win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
