Flamengo would have expected to have been in the final due to the strength of their side, and it will be interesting to see what type of reaction there is from the Brazilian side here. Al Ahly deserve a lot of respect, and this should be a close match, but we are backing Flamengo to secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Al Ahly	Draw	Flamengo
23.44%	24.77%	51.78%

Both teams to score 50.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.86%

51.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01%

72.98%

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.41%

36.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62%

73.38%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26%

19.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.24%

51.75%

Score Analysis

Al Ahly 23.44%

Flamengo 51.77%

Draw 24.77%

Al Ahly	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.44%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 11.71% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.17% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.84% Total : 51.77%