SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Manchester City |
26.09% ( -0.58) | 24% ( 0.08) | 49.9% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.82) | 45.61% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.79) | 67.94% ( 0.78) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( -0.88) | 31.34% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( -1.03) | 67.7% ( 1.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( -0.13) | 18.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.55% ( -0.21) | 49.45% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.09% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.9% |
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