Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alajuelense win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alajuelense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
0.72) 
-0.03) 
