SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
49.26% ( 1.62) | 22.45% ( 0.11) | 28.28% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 63.43% ( -1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( -1.71) | 36.73% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( -1.89) | 58.9% ( 1.88) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.07) | 15.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( -0.13) | 43.93% ( 0.12) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -1.95) | 25.14% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( -2.77) | 59.85% ( 2.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.57)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.26% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.28% |
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