SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Independiente win it was 2-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | New England Revolution |
14.66% ( 0.65) | 18.42% ( 0.19) | 66.92% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.68% ( 0.55) | 36.32% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.55% ( 0.6) | 58.45% ( -0.6) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( 1.24) | 37.46% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( 1.19) | 74.25% ( -1.19) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0.05) | 10.03% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.9% ( -0.12) | 33.1% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.66% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.42% | 0-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 7.62% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 7.48% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.38% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.92% |
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