Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Alajuelense had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Alajuelense win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
