CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Tim Hortons Field
Campbell (31')
Tavernier (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Forge and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Forge had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Forge win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
| Result |
| Forge | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
34.28% ( 0.02) | 27.81% ( -0.08) | 37.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( 0.26) |
| 42.39% ( 0.32) | 57.61% ( -0.32) |
| 21.62% ( 0.25) | 78.38% ( -0.25) |
| 68.35% ( 0.17) | 31.65% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.94% ( 0.2) | 68.06% ( -0.2) |
| 70.63% ( 0.2) | 29.37% ( -0.2) |
