Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Dec 4, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and CD Guadalajara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
Result |
Pumas | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
45.49% ( 0.02) | 26.48% ( 0.47) | 28.03% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 49.83% ( -1.71) |
45.49% ( -2.06) | 54.51% ( 2.06) |
24.13% ( -1.74) | 75.87% ( 1.74) |
76.1% ( -0.88) | 23.9% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% ( -1.28) | 58.1% ( 1.28) |
65.47% ( -1.47) | 34.53% ( 1.47) |