Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
44.24% ( -0.08)	24.23% ( 0.02)	31.53% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.12% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.7% (

-0.07)

43.3% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.3% (

-0.07)

65.7% (

0.06)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.06)

19.75% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22% (

-0.1)

51.78% (

0.09)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66%

26.33% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

61.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

CD Guadalajara 44.24%

Toluca 31.53%

Draw 24.22%

CD Guadalajara	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 44.24%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.53%