CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Toluca and Herediano.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Herediano win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Herediano |
55.33% ( 0.36) | 21.87% ( -0.07) | 22.79% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.14) |
| 60.82% ( -0.01) | 39.17% ( 0.01) |
| 38.49% ( -0.01) | 61.5% ( 0.01) |
| 85.89% ( 0.11) | 14.11% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.26% ( 0.22) | 41.74% ( -0.22) |
| 69.44% ( -0.25) | 30.56% ( 0.25) |
