Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Toluca
30.57%	23.22% ( 0)	46.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.98%

39.02% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.66%

61.34% (

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17%

24.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58%

59.42% (

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

17.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46%

47.54% (

Score Analysis

Puebla 30.57%

Toluca 46.2%

Draw 23.22%

Puebla	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 7.3% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.57%	1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.4% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.08% Total : 46.2%