SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Deportivo Saprissa had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Deportivo Saprissa win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
51.95% ( -0.87) | 22.73% ( 0.29) | 25.32% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.83) | 40.52% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.86) | 62.9% ( 0.85) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.59) | 15.7% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.24% ( -1.11) | 44.76% ( 1.1) |
| Deportivo Saprissa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0) | 29.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.81% ( -0) | 65.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.32% |
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