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MLS Playoffs | Wild Card Round
Oct 24, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
PT

Vancouver
5 - 0
Portland

Gauld (20', 31', 59'), White (24'), Armstrong (52')
Takaoka (54'), Raposo (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Chara (23'), Evander (70'), Miller (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Portland Timbers

The Timbers are by no means a stable defensive unit, but with so much firepower and creativity in the attacking third, we believe they will overwhelm a helpless Caps team that have failed to have any answers to their poor form for weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
47.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 28.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)41.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)17.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (0.028000000000006 0.03)48.17% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)62.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 47.88%
    Portland Timbers 28.58%
    Draw 23.53%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 47.88%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-3 Seattle
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-0 Dallas
Monday, October 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-1 Austin
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-3 Portland
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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