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LA
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 28, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Banc of California Stadium
VW

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Vancouver

Bouanga (30' pen.), Olivera (57')
Long (58'), Hollingshead (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gauld (90+5')
Laborda (73'), Veselinovic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Black and Gold have been in so many of these big games and found a way through, and there is no reason to believe that will change this weekend. As brilliant as the Caps were in the attacking third on Wednesday, penetrating the LAFC backline may prove to be a much tougher chore, and their opponents rarely need more than a half-chance or two to win, which is why we are tipping the home team to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 3-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
70.08% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 16.71% (-0.038 -0.04) 13.2% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.65% (0.32300000000001 0.32)31.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.2% (0.38200000000001 0.38)52.79% (-0.39 -0.39)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.98% (0.071999999999989 0.07)8.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (0.193 0.19)28.24% (-0.2 -0.2)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (0.29499999999999 0.29)36.19% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (0.3 0.3)72.97% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 70.08%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 13.2%
    Draw 16.71%
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.28% (0.023 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 70.08%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.71%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 13.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 St Louis City
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Kansas
Thursday, September 26 at 3.30am in US Open Cup
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-3 Seattle
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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