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LA
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
VW

Los Angeles
1 - 0
Vancouver

Bogusz (62')
Hollingshead (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gauld (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 Los Angeles
Monday, November 4 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 Los Angeles
Monday, November 4 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps (Los Angeles FC win series 2-1)

LA have been in so many must-win encounters over the past two years, and we expect them to correct the mistakes from game two and prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
70.05% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 17% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 12.95% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.72% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.55% (0.10600000000001 0.11)33.45% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.76% (0.121 0.12)55.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)8.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.42% (-0.012 -0.01)29.58% (0.012 0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (0.236 0.24)37.97% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.229 0.23)74.74% (-0.227 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 70.05%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 12.95%
    Draw 17%
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 4.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.007 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.05%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17%
1-2 @ 3.74% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 12.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 Los Angeles
Monday, November 4 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 St Louis City
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 Los Angeles
Monday, November 4 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-1 Vancouver
Monday, October 28 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Los Angeles
Monday, October 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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