SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 91.74%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 2.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.7%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.69%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-2 (0.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Bahamas |
91.74% ( 0.77) | 5.87% ( -0.48) | 2.39% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.07% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.79) | 17.92% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.92% ( 1.17) | 35.07% ( -1.17) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.87% ( 0.19) | 2.12% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89.69% ( 0.73) | 10.31% ( -0.74) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.03% ( -1.07) | 54.97% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.14% ( -0.65) | 87.86% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puerto Rico | Draw | Bahamas |
| 3-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.29)5-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.21)6-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.12)7-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.08)7-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)8-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.15)6-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.46% Total : 91.73% | 1-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.46% Total : 5.87% | Other @ 2.39% Total : 2.39% |
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