SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.04%) and 1-3 (4.87%). The likeliest Dominica win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominica | Draw | Bermuda |
38.25% ( 0.04) | 21.99% ( 0.01) | 39.75% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 69.4% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.06) | 30.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.07% ( -0.07) | 51.92% ( 0.07) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.01) | 17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.87% ( -0.02) | 47.12% ( 0.01) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( -0.05) | 16.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.99% ( -0.09) | 46.01% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominica | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 39.76% |
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