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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Windsor Park
JN

Dominica
2 - 3
Jamaica

George (82'), Jules (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nicholson (30', 79' pen.), Dixon (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guatemala 6-0 Dominica
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Dominica 0-2 Jamaica

Hallgrimsson may have a few regular starters unavailable, but it is difficult to envision even a Jamaican B side not winning comfortably against a Dominica squad that appeared to be in awe of their vastly superior opponents on matchday one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
DominicaDrawJamaica
59.27% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.65% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 40.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (0.050999999999995 0.05)59.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.039999999999999 0.04)79.6% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.05% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48% (0.094000000000001 0.09)49.51% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68% (0.068 0.07)84.32% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 59.26%
    Jamaica 16.07%
    Draw 24.64%
DominicaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 15.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guatemala 6-0 Dominica
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-0 Dominica
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Dominica 2-0 Turks & Caicos
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-2 Dominica
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominica 1-1 British Virgin I.
Thursday, October 12 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Turks & Caicos 0-3 Dominica
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 0-0 Jamaica
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 0-1 Jamaica
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-3 Jamaica
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League


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