SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Guyana win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Guyana |
48.55% ( 0.01) | 24.26% ( 0) | 27.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( -0) | 45.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.8% ( -0) | 68.19% ( 0.01) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( 0) | 18.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% ( 0) | 50.52% ( 0) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.01) | 30.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -0.01) | 66.87% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Guyana |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.22% Total : 48.55% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 27.2% |
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