Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 44.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.