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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Haiti |
| 47.73% | 24.75% | 27.52% |
| Both teams to score 54.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% | 69.98% |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% | 20.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% | 52.31% |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% | 31.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% | 67.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bermuda | Draw | Haiti |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.84% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.52% |
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