SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guyana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guyana | Draw | Bermuda |
52.19% ( -0.02) | 22.93% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.11% ( -0.03) | 41.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.03) | 64.29% ( 0.03) |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( -0.02) | 16.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( -0.03) | 45.52% ( 0.03) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( -0.01) | 30.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -0.01) | 66.5% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guyana | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.19% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.88% |
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