SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Montserrat |
39.94% ( -0.06) | 24.77% ( 0.02) | 35.29% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -0.1) | 44.75% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( -0.09) | 67.12% ( 0.09) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.07) | 22.34% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -0.1) | 55.83% ( 0.1) |
| Montserrat Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.03) | 24.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( -0.04) | 59.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Montserrat |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.29% |
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