SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Grenada |
59.84% ( 0.52) | 22.59% ( -0.07) | 17.57% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.79% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( -0.42) | 49.48% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( -0.38) | 71.51% ( 0.38) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( 0.03) | 16.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.41% ( 0.05) | 45.59% ( -0.06) |
| Grenada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.8) | 41.82% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.72% ( -0.7) | 78.27% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Grenada |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 59.83% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.57% |
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