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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Beausejour Stadium
SL

Saint Martin
1 - 2
St Lucia

Raga Rigobert (30')
Montantin (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Elva (76', 90')
Charles (15'), Joseph (90+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Martin and Saint Lucia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 4-0 Saint Martin
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-2 St Lucia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Saint Lucia win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Saint MartinDrawSaint Lucia
53.73% (0.143 0.14) 20.6% (-0.301 -0.3) 25.67% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 67.96% (1.341 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.18% (1.658 1.66)29.82% (-1.655 -1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.02% (1.977 1.98)50.98% (-1.974 -1.97)
Saint Martin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (0.595 0.59)11.46% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.72% (1.27 1.27)36.28% (-1.266 -1.27)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (1.008 1.01)23.24% (-1.005 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (1.448 1.45)57.16% (-1.443 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Saint Martin 53.73%
    Saint Lucia 25.67%
    Draw 20.6%
Saint MartinDrawSaint Lucia
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.413 -0.41)
3-2 @ 4.81% (0.173 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% (0.152 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.082 0.08)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.109 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.091 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.088 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.34% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 3.89% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Curacao 4-0 Saint Martin
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 0-2 Grenada
Saturday, September 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bonaire 0-4 Saint Martin
Tuesday, November 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 8-0 Anguilla
Monday, October 16 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Martin 2-1 Bonaire
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Anguilla 0-6 Saint Martin
Thursday, September 7 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-2 St Lucia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-1 Curacao
Friday, September 6 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: St Lucia 2-2 Aruba
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: St Lucia 1-2 Sint Maarten
Sunday, November 19 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Saint Kitts 0-0 St Lucia
Thursday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League


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