SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Saint Martin |
46.84% ( 0.45) | 23.74% ( -0.01) | 29.42% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.88% ( -0.23) | 42.12% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( -0.23) | 64.52% ( 0.23) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( 0.09) | 18.19% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.8% ( 0.15) | 49.2% ( -0.16) |
| Saint Martin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.41) | 27.12% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0.54) | 62.51% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Saint Martin |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 29.42% |
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