SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Saint Martin had a probability of 12.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Saint Martin win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Martin | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
12.54% ( -0.29) | 17.89% ( 0.01) | 69.56% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.8) | 38.94% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( -0.85) | 61.26% ( 0.85) |
| Saint Martin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.98) | 42.24% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0.86) | 78.64% ( 0.86) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.9% ( -0.14) | 10.1% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.75% ( -0.33) | 33.25% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Martin | Draw | Saint Kitts and Nevis |
| 1-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.54% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.89% | 0-2 @ 11.21% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.57% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 7.39% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.61% Total : 69.56% |
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