SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint Maarten win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Bonaire had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint Maarten win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 1-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Bonaire win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint Maarten would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Bonaire |
46.52% ( -0.43) | 21.52% ( 0.19) | 31.96% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 69.46% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.14% ( -0.84) | 29.86% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.98% ( -1.02) | 51.02% ( 1.02) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( -0.45) | 13.63% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( -0.91) | 40.79% ( 0.91) |
| Bonaire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.29) | 19.58% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( -0.47) | 51.5% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Bonaire |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.03% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.96% |
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