Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.03) 
