SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 7.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Haiti |
7.69% ( 0.19) | 12.46% ( 0.25) | 79.85% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.61) | 26.88% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.78) | 47.34% ( 0.78) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.09% ( -0.04) | 42.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.78% ( -0.03) | 79.21% ( 0.03) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.78% ( -0.19) | 5.21% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.39% ( -0.57) | 20.61% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Haiti |
| 2-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 7.69% | 1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.46% | 0-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 9.61% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 8.13% ( -0)0-4 @ 7.1% ( -0.09)0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 6.01% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 4.19% ( -0.11)1-5 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)1-6 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)2-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 5.35% Total : 79.85% |
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