SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 72.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Guadeloupe in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Guadeloupe |
11.84% ( 0.23) | 15.74% ( 0.82) | 72.42% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( -2.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70% ( -3.68) | 30% ( 3.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.81% ( -4.57) | 51.19% ( 4.57) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( -2.32) | 37.27% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -2.37) | 74.05% ( 2.37) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.78% ( -1.04) | 7.22% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.81% ( -2.81) | 26.19% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Guadeloupe |
| 2-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.85% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.74% | 0-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.38)0-3 @ 8.14% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 8.04% ( -0.13)0-1 @ 7.07% ( 1.06)0-4 @ 5.35% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.33)0-5 @ 2.81% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 2.78% ( -0.39)2-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.38)2-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.29)0-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.17)1-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.25)Other @ 4.09% Total : 72.42% |
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