SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Sint Maarten |
70.43% ( -0.19) | 16.53% ( 0.04) | 13.04% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.17% ( 0.18) | 30.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.82% ( 0.21) | 52.18% ( -0.22) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.18% ( 0) | 7.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.26% ( 0.02) | 27.74% ( -0.02) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( 0.34) | 36.06% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( 0.35) | 72.84% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Sint Maarten |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 70.43% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.04% |
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