SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 11.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Sint Maarten |
73.68% ( 0.84) | 15.27% ( -0.35) | 11.06% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.36) | 29.92% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.91% ( 0.44) | 51.09% ( -0.43) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.04% ( 0.25) | 6.96% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.5% ( 0.65) | 25.49% ( -0.65) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( -0.55) | 38.49% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( -0.52) | 75.24% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Sint Maarten |
| 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.15% Total : 73.68% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.27% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.61% Total : 11.06% |
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