Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for US Virgin Islands had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest US Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.
