Sarmiento
3 - 1
Defensa

Torres (4', 51' pen.), Quiroga (56')
Bravo (36'), Salvareschi (45+1'), Garcia (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bou (78' pen.)
Benitez (39'), Loaiza (68'), Frias (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
26.04%	27.18%	46.78%

Both teams to score 46.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8%

58.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15%

78.85%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82%

38.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05%

74.95%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1%

24.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48%

59.52%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 26.04%

Defensa y Justicia 46.77%

Draw 27.18%

Sarmiento	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.04%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-3 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.48% 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.77%