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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 3, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
DY

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Defensa

Tevez (19'), Zarate (65')
Campuzano (22'), Zarate (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bou (8')
Loaiza (74'), Bou (84'), Frias (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawDefensa y Justicia
45.67%27.16%27.17%
Both teams to score 47.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51%57.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.72%78.28%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17%59.83%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17%36.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38%73.62%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 45.67%
    Defensa y Justicia 27.17%
    Draw 27.15%
Boca JuniorsDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.17%

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