SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | El Salvador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Curacao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Panama |
32.78% ( -0.02) | 26.05% ( -0.01) | 41.16% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% ( 0.03) | 50.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( 0.02) | 72.81% ( -0.02) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0) | 29.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0) | 65.25% |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.02) | 24.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( 0.04) | 58.9% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.16% |
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