SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 82.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Bolivia |
82.35% ( -0.22) | 12.31% ( 0.13) | 5.34% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 39.3% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.24) | 37.42% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.36% ( -0.26) | 59.64% ( 0.26) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.14% ( -0.09) | 6.86% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.76% ( -0.26) | 25.24% ( 0.26) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.19% ( 0.15) | 57.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.51% ( 0.08) | 89.49% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 82.34% | 1-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 12.31% | 0-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.57% Total : 5.34% |
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