SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Canada |
31.86% ( -0.3) | 28.1% ( 0.09) | 40.03% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.9% ( -0.39) | 59.09% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% ( -0.3) | 79.54% ( 0.3) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.42) | 34.08% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.45) | 70.76% ( 0.45) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.07) | 28.86% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.09) | 64.72% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezuela | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.85% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.03% |
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