SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colombia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Venezuela |
63.81% ( 0.21) | 22.3% ( -0.13) | 13.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.86% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( 0.33) | 54.49% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( 0.27) | 75.85% ( -0.27) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( 0.19) | 16.54% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.7% ( 0.34) | 46.3% ( -0.33) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.16% ( 0.08) | 49.84% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.45% ( 0.06) | 84.55% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colombia | Draw | Venezuela |
| 1-0 @ 14.83% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 13.34% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 13.89% |
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